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The Major Banks Expecting Double-Digit Growth in House Prices

2021 has started solidly as most property markets nationwide continue to see rising prices. According to the latest data from CoreLogic, house prices are up again in February, and it appears that the big banks are also predicting significant price gains over the next 12-24 months. Month to date, house prices in our major capital cities are 1.2% higher, according to CoreLogic, taking the year-to-date gains to 1.4%. Out of Australia’s five largest cities, Perth has been the strongest this year, with revenues of 2.4%, followed by Brisbane at 1.5%.

Perth and Brisbane have avoided the bulk of the lockdown measure, with Sydney and Melbourne notably feeling the effects. Similarly, Sydney and Melbourne have been two of the strongest performers over the past decade. Rising property prices are also the story we hear from Australia’s central banks, which have recently updated their property forecasts for 2021 and beyond. For the most part, the outlook appears to be incredibly strong for homeowners and investors as prices continue to be boosted by record-low interest rates and the fallout from the various Government incentives we’ve seen over the past 12 months.


Bank Forecasts

CBA updated its price forecasts recently and is bullish on property across the board. We must note that CBA was one of the most bearish when COVID-19 first hit, and they have now completely changed their tune. CBA expects house prices in our major capital cities to rise 8% in 2021 and 14% by December 2022. They predict Perth and Darwin as the strongest markets in 2021, with 10% and 12% gains, respectively. It’s also worth noting that Perth and Darwin were two markets that have been the hardest hit over the past five years, falling in value when the East Coast of Australia boomed. NAB’s price forecasts are also very bullish and almost in line with CBA’s. NAB expects house prices to rise by 7.9% in 2021 and 6% in 2022.

NAB expects Brisbane and Hobart to be the strongest performed markets in 2021, rising in value by 10.1% and 9.7%. ANZ was one of the first central banks to come out with bullish predictions, and they are also expecting more upside in 2021. ANZ expects Perth property prices to grow by 12%, while Brisbane and Hobart will also see near double-digit growth. So far in 2021, these forecasts appear to be well and truly on track, with prices up around 1.4% this year. At the current rate, we are likely to see prices rising around that 8-10% level, which means homeowners and investors alike will be in for a solid 12 months.


I have always enjoyed writing and reading other people's blogs. I started writing a journal as a teenager and have since written numerous books and articles. My blog is a place where I can write freely about my personal interests and those of others.

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